Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.006128 0.007038 0.008095 0.009430 0.011091 0.013120 0.015831
2025-11-23 0.004974 0.006108 0.007563 0.009618 0.012538 0.016698 0.023404
2025-11-30 0.004213 0.005392 0.007000 0.009444 0.013258 0.019358 0.030830
2025-12-07 0.003649 0.004807 0.006456 0.009107 0.013548 0.021356 0.038161
2025-12-14 0.003277 0.004423 0.006118 0.008976 0.014086 0.023910 0.048174
2025-12-21 0.003083 0.004264 0.006080 0.009299 0.015476 0.028626 0.067110
2025-12-28 0.002952 0.004180 0.006138 0.009786 0.017311 0.035193 0.099191
2026-01-04 0.002780 0.004007 0.006021 0.009925 0.018470 0.040804 0.137707
2026-01-11 0.002594 0.003792 0.005801 0.009823 0.019064 0.045270 0.181568
2026-01-18 0.002452 0.003633 0.005659 0.009846 0.019961 0.051284 0.253442
2026-01-25 0.002288 0.003423 0.005401 0.009583 0.020071 0.054810 0.324050
2026-02-01 0.002121 0.003196 0.005089 0.009160 0.019647 0.056193 0.385221
2026-02-08 0.001967 0.002989 0.004814 0.008820 0.019501 0.059267 0.502539
2026-02-15 0.001886 0.002904 0.004764 0.008985 0.020899 0.070650 0.927017
2026-02-22 0.001778 0.002763 0.004589 0.008827 0.021276 0.077821 1.513981
2026-03-01 0.001666 0.002605 0.004366 0.008519 0.021082 0.081931 2.285662
2026-03-08 0.001584 0.002496 0.004228 0.008400 0.021495 0.090516 4.550897
2026-03-15 0.001547 0.002467 0.004252 0.008695 0.023501 0.113748 28.754512
2026-03-22 0.001524 0.002464 0.004328 0.009138 0.026325 0.151980 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001477 0.002410 0.004288 0.009264 0.027963 0.185732 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001417 0.002326 0.004178 0.009171 0.028628 0.211693 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001370 0.002265 0.004110 0.009192 0.029855 0.252748 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001308 0.002171 0.003963 0.008954 0.029736 0.272767 NaN